Draft area plans for post-primary education

• 29,584 pupils attended the 35 post-primary schools during 2011-2012
• approximately 40 per cent of pupils travelled from outside Belfast
• seven non-selective schools (one controlled, six maintained) constituted the majority of 1,806 surplus places
• eight schools with enrolments below the minimum enrolment threshold of 500 for years 8-12
• attainment in eight non-selective schools and eight grammar schools below minimum acceptable thresholds
• four schools below the sixth form enrolment threshold
• seven schools with projected financial deficits

Projections

• 31,356 places needed in 2025: 14,242 in subset A; 15,433 in subset B and 1,681 in subset C
• the Northern Ireland Commission for Catholic Education and the CCMS have proposed four 11-19 schools to serve North Belfast and Glengormley area
• Catholic trustees have recommended examining the possibility of eight 11-19 schools (including a new school in Crumlin, Glenavy or Lisburn)
• an 11-19 co-educational campus to be created to cater for Ravenhill Road

• 32,060 pupils enrolled in 49 post-primary schools during 2011-2012
• 20 of 49 schools fall below the enrolment threshold of 500 for years 8-12
• 14 of 39 schools with a sixth form fall below the threshold of 100 pupils
• current surplus: 3,075 places, with 2,449 places in controlled schools

Overall projections

• pupil population increase: 2,052* by 2025
• sufficient overall capacity to facilitate the predicted increase

Central area (Antrim, Ballymena and Magherafelt)

• pupil population increase: 1,611 (from 13,974 to 15,585)
• 6,479 pupils will be in subset A, 6,669 in subset B and 2,437 in subset C
• total deficit: 950 (384 in subset A; 484 in subset B; 82 in subset C)

Northern area (Coleraine, Ballymoney and Moyle)

• pupil population decrease: 101
• 4,181 pupils will be in subset A, 2,907 in subset B and 420 in subset C
• total surplus: 1,267 (934 in subset A; 253 in subset B; and 80 in subset C)

Southern area (Carrickfergus, Larne and Netownabbey)

• pupil population increase: 542
• 8,999 pupils will be in subset A, 1,480 in subset B and 540 in subset C
• total surplus: 706 (796 in subset A; deficit of 50 in subset B; 40- place deficit in subset C)

• 36 post-primary schools
• 25,203 pupils and 1,867 unfilled places in 2011-2012

Overall projections

• pupil population increase: 1,828* by 2025
• total deficit: 61 places

Ards

• pupil population increase: 350
• 3,230 pupils will be in subset A, 238 in subset B and 587 in subset C
• total surplus: 315 (120 in subset A; 282 in subset B; 87-place deficit in subset C)

Castlereagh

• pupil population increase: 148
• 1,430 pupils in subset A, 1,309 in subset B and 1,288 in subset C
• total surplus: 483 places (620 in subset A; deficits of 49 and 88 in subsets B and C respectively)

Down

• pupil population increase: 297
• 1,693 pupils will be in subset A, 4,255 in subset B and 880 in subset C
• total surplus: 191 (39-place deficit in subset A; 230-place surplus in subset B)

Lisburn

• pupil population increase: 744
• 3,946 pupils in subset A, 1,230 in subset B and 985 in subset C
• total deficit: 523 places (368 in subset A; 20 in subset B; 135 in subset C)

North Down

• pupil population increase: 389
• 4,778 pupils in subset A, 640 in subset B and 539 in subset C
• total deficit: 527 places (298 in subset A; 140 in subset B; 89 in subset C)

• total enrolment of 33,230 during 2011-2012, with total capacity at 36,031
• no post-primary schools in the area in formal intervention

Overall projections

• pupil population increase: 7,106 by 2025 (from 33,230 to 40,336)
• total deficit: 4,305 places

Armagh

• pupil population increase: 850
• 2,043 children will be in subset A and 3,770 in subset B schools
• total deficit: 499

Banbridge

• pupil population increase: 622
• 3,620 pupils will be in subset A, 445 in subset B and 619 in subset C
• total deficit: 493

Cookstown

• pupil population increase: 175
• 988 pupils will be in subset A and 940 pupils in subset B
• total surplus: 132

Craigavon

• pupil population increase: 1,732
• subset A schools to have 4,379 pupils; subset B to have 3,682 and subset C to have 488
• total deficit: 300

Dungannon and South Tyrone

• pupil population increase: 1,579
• subset A to have 2,104 pupils, subset B to have 4,787 pupils and 619 in subset C by 2025
• total deficit: 1,263

Newry and Mourne

• pupil population increase: 2,147
• 1,628 pupils in subset A schools, with 10,224 in subset B
• total deficit: 1,882

• 43 post-primary schools
• post-primary schools are below the enrolment threshold of 500 for years 8-12

Overall projections

• pupil population increase: 913 by 2025 (from projected enrolment of 26,226 in 2011-2012 to 27,139)
• total surplus: 2,008 places

Derry

• pupil population increase: 303
• 1,739 pupils will be in subset A; 8,167 in subset B and 867 in subset C
• total surplus: 572 (131 in subset A; 508 in subset B, 67-place deficit in subset C)

Fermanagh

• pupil population increase: 602
• 1,848 pupils will study in subset A, 3,429 in subset B and 474 in subset C
• total surplus: 464 (117 in subset A; 421 in subset B; 74-place deficit in subset C)

Limavady

• pupil population increase: 45
• 1,629 pupils will be in subset A, 1,021 in subset B but no pupils in subset C
• total surplus: 380 (51 in subset A; 329 in subset B)

Omagh

• pupil population increase: 109
• 1,111 pupils will be in subset A, 3,468 in subset B and 667 in subset C
• total surplus: 204 (79 in subset A; 212 in subset B; 87-place deficit in subset C)

Strabane

• pupil population increase: 56
• 1,119 pupils will be in subset A and 1,600 in subset B
• total surplus: 388 (31 in subset A; 357 in subset B)